Forecast: Bank Nonperforming Loans to Total Gross Loans in Argentina

From 2013 to 2023, Argentina experienced significant fluctuations in its nonperforming loans to total gross loans ratio. The ratio peaked dramatically in 2019 at 5.7% before gradually declining, reaching 3.16% in 2023. This marks an improvement from the higher values of 2019 and 2020, influenced by economic instability.

Looking at the year-on-year variations, 2022 saw a decrease of 1.2 percentage points from 2021, and 2023 experienced a slight 0.07 percentage point increase from 2022. The five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 is forecasted at -0.25%, implying a modest yearly decrease. Over the next five years, the ratio is expected to stabilize slightly above 3%, with a forecasted average growth rate of -1.23% by 2028.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • Economic Recovery: Continued signs of economic recovery could further reduce nonperforming loans.
  • Policy Changes: Government policies aimed at tightening banking regulations may influence these figures.
  • Global Economic Conditions: Global economic trends could impact local economic stability and loan performance in Argentina.

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