In 2023, Japan's child mortality rate for children aged 5-14 was significantly lower than the upcoming forecasted years. From 2024 onwards, a consistent decline is observed, with the rate decreasing from 580 deaths in 2024 to 490 deaths by 2028. Over these years, the year-on-year decrease averages a significant decline in mortality, reflecting ongoing improvements in healthcare and child safety measures. In the last two years alone, a 3.92% annual decline is evident, translating into a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately -4.21% over the five-year forecast period.
Future trends to watch for include potential declines due to advancements in healthcare technologies, policy-driven healthcare initiatives, and increased parental awareness. However, the potential impact of climate change and socio-economic factors on child health remains a critical area to monitor.
