Forecast: Infant Mortality Rate in China

In 2023, China's infant mortality rate stood at a certain level and is forecasted to decrease significantly from 3.38 in 2024 to 1.61 in 2028. The year-on-year percentage decline is evident through the forecast period: from 2024 to 2025, a reduction of -14.20%; 2025 to 2026, -15.52%; 2026 to 2027, -18.37%; and 2027 to 2028, -19.90%. The compound annual growth rate over these five years is approximately -16.58% annually, indicating continuous improvement.

Future trends to watch:

  • Enhancements in healthcare access and quality across rural areas
  • Government policies targeting maternal and child health
  • Emergence of advanced medical technologies
  • Sociodemographic shifts, including decreased birth rates

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