In 2023, the re-importation of live bovine animals to Italy, except for pure-bred breeding, stood at a baseline value from which forecasts are derived. By 2024, a predicted value of 411 units marks the starting point for future estimations. The forecast shows a consistent downward trend in the period from 2024 to 2028, with expected year-on-year decreases: 5.6% in 2025, 5.7% in 2026, 6% in 2027, and 6.1% in 2028. Over these five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average yearly decrease in live bovine re-imports.
Future trends worth monitoring include:
- Impact of Italy’s domestic bovine production trends on re-import needs.
- Changes in trade agreements or policy that might affect import conditions.
- Potential shifts in demand for beef or related products that could influence import volumes.
- Possible developments in breeding technologies that could affect the differentiation between pure-bred and non pure-bred imports.
