Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in Brazil

The forecasted share of corresponding/leading authors in AI publications in Brazil shows a slight declining trend from 2024 to 2028, starting at 93.9 in 2024 and gradually decreasing to 93.39 by 2028. This suggests a marginal year-on-year decrease. As of 2023, it stood slightly above the 2024 forecast. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over these years presents a stable but slight downward shift.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The potential impact of increased international collaboration, which may further influence the share of local corresponding authors.
  • The role of Brazilian institutions strengthening their global research presence.
  • Technological advancements and policy changes that might affect authorship dynamics in AI research.

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