The data shows that the share of India's AI publications in the world's top 10% cited works is projected to decline gradually from 2024 to 2028, marking a decrease from 6.04% in 2024 to 5.82% in 2028. Based on the 2024 forecast data, this figure has started to show a negative trend since 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period highlights a steady downturn.

Future trends to watch for:

Advancements in AI research and increased focus on collaborative international projects to potentially boost citation impact.
Improved research funding and infrastructure in India might alter this trend positively.
Monitoring emerging AI technologies and their application domains which could lead to higher impact publications.