Forecast: Maize Production in Angola

Angola's maize production displayed notable growth from 2014 to 2023. The actual production values show a steady climb from 1.69 million metric tons in 2014 to 3.06 million metric tons in 2023, reflecting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.03% over the last five years. This period saw fluctuations but maintained an overall upward trend driven by increasing agricultural investment and favorable climatic conditions.

Key Trends:

  • Between 2014 and 2018, large annual increases with peaks such as 19.17% in 2016 and 16.13% in 2018 indicated rapid growth.
  • From 2019 to 2023, growth rates stabilized, with slight year-on-year declines in 2019 and 2020, but regained momentum afterward.
  • 2021 marked a notable upturn with an 8.33% rise, followed by moderate growth rates of 2.76% in 2022 and 2.65% in 2023.

Forecasted Data:

  • Future projections from 2024 to 2028 suggest continued growth, albeit at a slightly tapered CAGR of 1.98%, pointing to a deceleration compared to earlier robust increases.
  • Yet, the period is expected to see an overall growth rate of 10.33%.

Future Trends to Watch for:

  • Agricultural policy changes: Monitoring government initiatives aimed at further boosting maize production.
  • Climate change impacts: Anticipating variations due to changing weather patterns.
  • Technological advancements: The role of improved farming techniques and mechanization.

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