From 2013 to 2023, the number of specialized public health institutions in China has demonstrated a general downward trend. The highest value was reported in 2014 at 35.03 thousand, showing a positive year-on-year increase of 12.43% from 2013. However, from 2015 onwards, the number consistently declined, reaching 13.69 thousand in 2023. Notably, there were slight positive year-on-year variations in 2022 (1.62%) and 2023 (1.5%), contrasting with earlier years of steep decline.
Between 2015 and 2020, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) largely pointed towards a decline, with an average annual decrease peaking at -14.61% in 2020. However, this trend began to stabilize after 2021, showing reduced negative growth rates and eventually minor positive adjustments by 2023.
Looking forward to 2028, the forecast suggests a gradual increase at a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 1.04%, projecting the number of institutions to reach 14.63 thousand in 2028 – a projected 5.32% growth from 2023.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential reforms in public health infrastructure and policies aimed at bolstering the number of specialized institutions.
- Technological advancements and digital health integration could impact the need for physical institutions.
- Global health crisis preparedness potentially influencing government investment in public health institutions.
