The forecast for boys under five mortality rate in Italy shows a consistent decline from 2.2 deaths per thousand children in 2024 to 1.6 by 2028. This marks a continuing downward trend from 2023, where the rate stood at 2.3. The year-on-year decrease appears to be steady, with notable reductions particularly in 2026 and 2027. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year span captures an average decline, reflecting ongoing improvements in healthcare and child safety measures.

Future trends to watch for include:

Advancements in medical technology and healthcare accessibility continuing to reduce mortality rates.
Potential policy changes impacting healthcare funding and services for young children.
Social and economic factors potentially affecting child health and mortality trends.