Forecast: Poultry Meat Production in Southern Africa

Southern Africa's poultry meat production has seen a marked increase from 1.7109 million metric tons in 2013 to 1.9812 million metric tons in 2023. The growth has been relatively steady, despite minor fluctuations. Notable dips occurred in 2016 and 2020, with year-on-year declines of -2.66% and -3.45%, respectively. However, the years 2021 and 2022 showed positive trends with increases of 7.35% and 1.9%, respectively. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years leading to 2023 stood at 2.06%. Looking ahead from 2024, the CAGR is forecasted to average at 1.41% annually, with an overall growth rate of 7.27% projected through 2028.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in poultry farming technology, changes in feed costs, and shifts in consumer demand towards more protein-rich diets. Regional trade policies and disease outbreaks will also play critical roles in shaping production dynamics. Sustainability practices and climate change impacts are other factors to monitor closely.

Key trends and observations:

  • Marked increase in production over the last decade.
  • Fluctuations with notable drops in 2016 and 2020.
  • Positive recovery noted in 2021 and 2022.
  • Forecast suggests moderate growth through 2028.

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