The coconut yield in Kenya has shown significant fluctuations over the observed period. In 2023, the yield stood at 9.26 thousand hectograms per hectare, marking a notable decline from its peak in 2016. Year-on-year, the yield decreased by 7.88% from 2022 to 2023. Over the last two years, the yield has seen a persistent decrease, with an average annual reduction of about 7.67%. The CAGR for the past five years reflects an average annual decline of 6.12%. Forecasted data suggest that by 2028, the yield will further decrease to 5.12 thousand hectograms per hectare, with an anticipated 5-year CAGR of -9.4%. Future trends to watch include climate change impacts, advancements in agricultural technology, and policy changes that could either mitigate or exacerbate the declining yield. Additionally, investment in sustainable farming practices and infrastructure development could play pivotal roles in reversing the downward trend.
