The forecast for pear consumption in Japan at the farm gate indicates a steady decline from 2024 to 2028. Pear consumption is expected to decrease from 200.77 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 178.99 thousand metric tons by 2028. When considering the forecast, pear consumption is experiencing an average yearly decline of approximately 2.8% over the five-year period.
The year-on-year analysis shows a consistent downward trend with slight variations, reflecting shifts in consumer preferences, possibly due to competition from other fruits and changing dietary habits. In 2023, the actual consumption stood slightly higher than in 2024, pointing to a gradual decline that continues in the forecast years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Changes in consumer health trends which may increase or decrease demand for pears.
- Potential impacts of weather events on local pear production and overall supply.
- Economic factors influencing purchasing power and consumption patterns in Japan.
