In 2023, Canada's pear production stood at approximately 8.2 thousand metric tons. The forecast for the period from 2024 to 2028 indicates a slight declining trend. The production is expected to decrease from 8.13 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 7.86 thousand metric tons by 2028.

The year-on-year variation shows a gradual decrease: approximately -0.86% from 2024 to 2025 and -0.86% onwards each year through 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is projected to be around -0.68% annually.

Future trends to watch for include:

Climate change impacts on agricultural outputs.
Shifts in consumer preferences affecting demand for local versus imported pears.
Technological advancements in agriculture potentially offsetting production declines.