Forecast: New Buses and Coaches Registrations in Italy

Between 2013 and 2023, the registration of new buses and coaches in Italy demonstrated fluctuating trends. The earlier years exhibited slow growth or minor declines, with substantial increases noticed from 2017 to 2019. However, 2020 saw a significant drop likely due to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Post-2020, recovery was evident with a noteworthy rise in 2021. As of 2023, registrations stood at 4.31 thousand, marking a modest recovery.

Short term variations:

• 2022: -1.25%
• 2023: +6.58%

Five-year CAGR analysis reveals:

• From 2013 to 2023: -0.66%

Future forecasts for the 2024-2028 period predict a slight annual decline rate with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.07%, indicating a potential stabilization or minimal decrease in registrations.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Adoption of electric and hybrid buses influenced by environmental policies.
• Impacts of urbanization on public transport demand.
• Technological advancements in transportation.