Based on the data provided, Japan's tangerines and mandarins supply is projected to decrease steadily from 929.73 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 867.2 thousand metric tons in 2028. Compared to the supply levels of 2023, this indicates a continued downward trend. The year-on-year percentage change shows a consistent decline: -1.7% from 2024 to 2025, -1.7% from 2025 to 2026, -1.7% from 2026 to 2027, and -1.8% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period is a decrease of approximately 1.8% per year.
Future trends to watch for:
- Shifts in consumer preferences and potential impacts on demand.
- Improved agricultural practices or changes in production technology.
- Import policies and their effect on domestic supply.
- Environmental factors and climate change influencing yield.
