Based on forecasts, fresh sea trout production in the UK is projected to decline from 1.75 metric tons in 2024 to 1.41 metric tons by 2028. The year-on-year variation indicates a consistent decrease, with the 2025 forecast revealing a 4.6% decline from 2024, a 5.4% decline anticipated in 2026 from 2025, a 5.1% decrease in 2027 from 2026, and a 6% drop in 2028 from 2027. When calculating the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) across these five years, the production shows an average annual reduction reflecting broader industry tensions.

Future trends to watch for:

Impact of environmental policies aimed at sustainable fishing and their potential to further constrain supply.
Fluctuations in consumer demand for sea trout affecting the economic viability of capture fisheries.
Technological advancements in aquaculture that might buffer the reduction in capture fisheries production.