Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Automotive Engineering in France

The share of the corresponding/leading author in scientific publications within the automotive engineering sector in France is projected to gradually decline from 2024 to 2028, beginning at 86.42% and diminishing to 84.41%. This reflects a subtle, yet consistent annual decrease in the proportion, averaging around 0.47% year-on-year. Assuming this decline continues at a similar pace, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is negative and indicates a slow drift towards greater collaboration or changes in publication leadership dynamics.

Looking ahead, several trends warrant attention:

• An increase in cross-national or collaborative research could drive further reduction in individual corresponding author shares.
• The evolving landscape of automotive innovations, such as electromobility and autonomous technologies, may alter the distribution of authorship due to interdisciplinary collaboration.
• Shifts in academic policies and publication practices, prioritizing diverse authorship, could impact future statistics.