In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in UK scientific publications in epidemiology was at a particular level, and beginning with 2024, forecasts indicate a gradual decrease from 83.28% to 81.82% by 2028. This represents slight year-on-year declines of approximately 0.44% on average. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is projected to be negative, highlighting a consistent decline in this share.

Future trends to watch for include:

Increasing collaboration across international borders, which may diversify authorship roles.
Potential shifts in funding priorities affecting the prominence of UK authors in global projects.
Technological advancements altering the structure and outreach of research teams.