Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Immunology and Microbiology in the UK

In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in UK scientific publications in immunology and microbiology stood at a certain value that saw a subsequent decrease over the forecasted years. From 2024 to 2028, the share is projected to decrease modestly from 84% to 83.63%. The year-on-year variation suggests a consistent decline of approximately 0.1% annually due to shifts in collaborative research dynamics. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years confirms a slight negative trend.

Future trends to watch for include increased cross-border collaborations and interdisciplinary research, which could further impact the corresponding author share as co-authorship becomes increasingly prevalent. Additionally, advancements in digital and AI-driven research methodologies might affect how authorship is attributed in scientific publications.

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