The production of oranges in Malaysia has shown a persistent decline over the past decade, decreasing from 18.67 thousand metric tons in 2013 to 8.83 thousand metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year variation in recent years continued the downward trend, with a 5.24% decline from 2022 to 2023. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) illustrates an average yearly decrease of 2.74%. This trend is projected to continue, with an expected reduction to 6.27 thousand metric tons by 2028, corresponding to a forecasted five-year CAGR of -5.42% and an overall growth decrease of 24.33%.

Future trends to watch:

Impact of changing climatic conditions on production levels.
Technological advancements in agricultural practices that could potentially stabilize or enhance yield.
Governmental policies aimed at boosting local agricultural productivity.
Market demand shifts in local versus export markets.