According to the forecasted data, the total number of top-cited scientific publications in Pediatrics, Perinatology, and Child Health in China is expected to increase steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, this figure stood at 142 publications. The projections indicate a consistent year-on-year growth, with 2025 showing a 12.5% increase from 2024, 2026 at 11% growth compared to 2025, 2027 with a 9.9% increase over 2026, and by 2028 a further 8.9% from 2027. Calculating the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028, the five-year average growth is estimated at 10.5% annually.
Future trends to watch for:
- Increasing emphasis on research collaboration internationally, potentially enhancing the quality and impact of publications.
- Investments in healthcare and technology could drive more innovation in child health research, further boosting publication numbers.
- China's strategic focus on becoming a global leader in scientific research may continue to influence increased output in this field.