The number of new and relapse tuberculosis cases in the UK is forecasted to decline steadily from 3.8 thousand cases in 2024 to 3.03 thousand cases in 2028. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -5.59% over five years. Year-on-year variation shows a consistent decrease, reflecting successful public health interventions and advances in tuberculosis prevention and treatment.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of emerging tuberculosis strains on case numbers, potential policy shifts supporting public health, and the effectiveness of vaccination and monitoring programs. Ongoing attention to healthcare access and socioeconomic factors will be crucial to continue this downward trend.
