As of 2023, influenza mortality rates in Japan stood at 1.3 male deaths per one hundred thousand men. The forecast for 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual increase, with values predicted to rise from 1.4 in 2024 to 1.5 by 2026. This denotes a stagnant trend between 2026 and 2028. Year-on-year variation shows a steady increase from 2024, with a 7.7% rise by 2026 over 2023. The forecasted Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over these five years is approximately 3.3%, suggesting a relatively stable long-term trend.
Future trends to monitor include the potential impact of evolving healthcare policies, vaccination rates, and public health campaigns aimed at reducing influenza-related mortality. Any societal, environmental, or economic factors influencing public health infrastructure could significantly shift these forecasts.