In 2023, the UK child mortality rate for children aged 5-14 stood higher than the projected figures. Between 2024 and 2028, forecasts indicate a steady decline, with a projected decrease from 660 to 580 deaths per thousand. This trend represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 3% over this projected period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects a consistent decline, reinforcing the positive downward trend in child mortality rates over five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

Improvements in healthcare and access to services, which could further accelerate the decline.
Potential impacts of socio-economic factors and public health policies on mortality rates.
Technological innovations in medical care and their influence on child health outcomes.