Forecast: Accommodation and Food Services Output in Mexico

From 2013 to 2019, the accommodation and food services output in Mexico showed steady growth, with year-on-year increases ranging from 4.92% to 11.2% and compound annual growth rates (CAGR) between 3.92% and 7.67%. The sector faced a significant decline of 37.39% in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but rebounded in 2021 and 2022 with growth rates of 31.06% and 31.97%, respectively. However, the output decreased again by 8.8% in 2023, standing at 979.84 billion Mexican Pesos.

For the future, the sector is expected to resume a positive trajectory with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.1%, reaching 1118.7 billion Mexican Pesos by 2028. The overall growth rate from 2024 to 2028 is projected to be 10.97%.

Future trends to watch for:

• Impact of economic recovery post-pandemic
• Tourism trends and international travel policies
• Increasing urbanization and domestic tourism
• Technological advancements in food services (e.g., delivery platforms)
• Regulatory changes and sustainability initiatives