In 2024, the share of China's scientific publications in the world's top 10% most-cited publications in epidemiology is forecasted to be 12.27%. By 2028, this share is expected to rise to 14.88%. Comparing year-on-year, 2025 sees a 5.38% increase, 2026 a 5.03% increase, 2027 a 4.78% increase, and 2028 a 4.57% increase. This reflects a consistent upward trend with an average annual growth rate of 5.19% over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- Growing government and institutional investment in research and development could accelerate improvements in publication quality and impact.
- Enhanced international collaborations may further elevate China's position in global epidemiological research.
- Tracking emerging epidemiological priorities and health challenges may influence the thematic focus of high-impact research publications.
