The U.S. tomato production is projected to decline gradually over the next five years, starting from 10.57 million metric tons in 2024 to 9.48 million metric tons in 2028. This represents a downward trend marked by consistent negative year-on-year variations, which will likely average around a -2.2% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period. In 2023, the production stood at 10.84 million metric tons, highlighting a declining pattern initiated in recent years.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in agricultural practices, climate change impacts, and market demands that may influence production rates. Innovations in tomato cultivation and changing consumer preferences could modify this forecast.
