A review of mutton and goat meat production in China reveals a steady upward trajectory from 2014 to 2023, peaking at 4.93 million metric tons in 2023. The data indicates consistent year-on-year growth, with significant increases such as a 4.64% rise in 2016 and a notable dip of -4.24% in 2020, which was followed by a recovery in subsequent years. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was 0.71%. Looking ahead, forecasts from 2024 suggest a continued upward trend, with production reaching 5.11 million metric tons by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is 0.59%, indicating a moderate but steady increase.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential impacts of China's agricultural policies and environmental regulations on livestock production.
- Advancements in herd management and breeding techniques to increase productivity.
- Consumer demand shifts and their influence on meat production stability and growth.
- Global market dynamics, including trade policies and tariffs, which may affect export opportunities.
