In 2023, the import of aluminium waste or scrap to China reached a value of 1.625 billion kilograms. The forecast indicates a gradual decline over the next few years, with the import volume decreasing from 1.6029 billion kilograms in 2024 to 1.5137 billion kilograms by 2028. This reflects an average annual contraction rate, compounded annually, of about 1.58% over the five-year forecast period. The slight year-on-year decline each year illustrates a consistent downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in policies regarding recycling and sustainability measures in China, which may impact aluminium scrap imports. Additionally, global market prices and supply chain dynamics could influence import strategies and volume adjustments.