Between 2013 and 2023, the number of scientific publications in Artificial Intelligence in Brazil exhibited considerable fluctuation. Starting from a robust increase in 2013, reaching a peak in 2018, we then witnessed periods of decline and growth. A significant dip occurred in 2020, followed by a recovery period peaking again in 2023 with 477.57 publications. The year-on-year variation over the last two years indicates a rise of 38.05% in 2022 and 10.7% in 2023, while the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at roughly 0.14%.
Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 predicts a steady growth trend. By 2028, the total number of publications is expected to reach 593.73. The average annual growth rate over this period is predicted to be 3.45%, resulting in an overall increase of approximately 18.5% from 2023 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of increased governmental and private sector funding in AI research, international collaborations, and the adoption of emerging AI technologies in academic and research institutions. These factors could further accelerate the growth rate of AI publications in Brazil.
