Forecast: Number of Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in Italy

The number of scientific publications in artificial intelligence in Italy is forecasted to grow over the next five years, beginning from a baseline in 2023. Year-on-year growth is projected at approximately 3.2% in 2025, followed by slight deceleration to 3.1% in 2026 and 2.9% in 2027. The cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is projected at roughly 3.0%, indicating a steady rise in AI research output.

The increasing trend highlights key areas to watch, such as the impact of investment in AI infrastructure, academia-industry collaborations, and policy changes affecting research and innovation ecosystems. These factors might influence the pace and volume of future scientific contributions.

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