Forecast: Computed Tomography Exams in Ambulatory Care in the Netherlands

The data on Computed Tomography (CT) exams per scanner in ambulatory care in the Netherlands over the years shows significant fluctuations. There was a notable spike in 2015 with a year-on-year increase of 165.8%, followed by a steep decline in 2016. The subsequent years witnessed moderate variations, with reductions in 2018 and 2020, and an increase in 2022 by 48.18%. As of 2023, the value stood at 582 exams per scanner, reflecting an 8.44% year-on-year increase. The CAGR over the last five years (2019-2023) stands at 14.45%.

Looking into future trends, the forecasted values from 2024 to 2028 suggest a gradual increase, with the exams per scanner rising from 589.4 to 618.5, indicating a forecasted CAGR of 0.97% over the next five years. Overall, the series portrays a stabilizing trend with a moderate growth outlook.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of technological advancements and AI in radiology, potentially increasing scanning efficiency.
  • Changes in healthcare policy and funding which could affect scanner availability and usage.
  • Population demographics and the aging population which may drive higher demand for CT scans.
  • The influence of public health initiatives and preventive care practices on scan volumes.

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