China's demand for oranges and mandarins increased from 24.0 million metric tons in 2014 to 29.57 million metric tons in 2023, with a YoY variation of 1.11% in 2023. The CAGR was 0.72% over the last five years, indicating moderate growth. Key variations include a notable 7.9% increase in 2018 and a decline of 3.84% in 2020. From 2024 onwards, forecasts suggest demand will continue to rise steadily, reaching 31.27 million metric tons by 2028 with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.88% and total growth of 4.47%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on crop yields, evolving consumer preferences towards exotic fruits, and government policies affecting local fruit production and import tariffs. Monitoring these variables will be crucial for accurate demand forecasting and market strategy formulation.
