Forecast: Tangerines, Satsumas, Clementines and Mandarines Production in Thailand

The production of Tangerines, Satsumas, Clementines, and Mandarines in Thailand has shown significant fluctuation over the past decade. From a high of 184.07 thousand metric tons in 2018, production has steadily declined, reaching 95.27 thousand metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year variation over the last two years indicates a continuous decline of -12.41% in 2022 and -13.88% in 2023. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years stands at a negative -12.34%, illustrating a consistent downward trend.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data suggests this decline will continue at an accelerated rate, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -28.11%, resulting in a drastic drop to only 15.06 thousand metric tons by 2028, translating to an -80.79% decrease over the forecasted period.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential market shifts in domestic and international demand for these citrus fruits.
  • Impact of climate change and agricultural practices on crop yield.
  • Innovations in farming technologies that could reverse the declining trend.
  • Government policies and support initiatives for the agricultural sector.

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