Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in the US

In 2023, the total number of scientific publications in Artificial Intelligence in the US stood at approximately 3.72 thousand. The forecasted data shows a steady increase in publications, with a projected figure of 4.09 thousand by 2028. Year-on-year, publications are expected to grow by about 2.6% from 2024 to 2025 and 2.1% from 2025 to 2026. From 2026 to 2027, the growth is forecasted at 1.8%, tapering to 1.2% from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five years is around 1.9%, indicating a consistent upward trend in AI research activity in the US.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Increased funding and investment in AI research, potentially accelerating publication rates.
  • Growth of interdisciplinary research could influence AI publication diversity.
  • Advancements in AI technologies and methodologies may drive higher publication outputs.

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