From the forecasted data, the import volumes of fresh or chilled bone-in swine hams, shoulders, and cuts to the US are expected to decline steadily from 55.164 million kilograms in 2024 to 51.249 million kilograms in 2028. This trend indicates a decrease of approximately 7% over the forecast period. The consistent year-over-year decline reflects a trend of diminishing imports, likely influenced by broader market and industry changes. In 2023, the import volume was slightly higher, indicating this downward trend had already started.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in domestic pork production, shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative proteins, and any impact from trade policies or tariffs that could further affect import volumes. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anticipating further shifts in the swine product import market.
