In 2023, pertussis incidence in the UK was recorded at 10 cases per hundred thousand persons. Forecast data suggest a consistent year-on-year increase, with 2024 showing a 4% rise from the previous year, and similar increments projected through 2028, culminating in a 22% increase over five years. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stands at approximately 4.1%, highlighting a persistent upward trend.
Looking ahead, factors to monitor include vaccination rates, potential new vaccine introductions or improvements, public health policy changes, and epidemiological shifts that could influence the incidence rate. Enhanced surveillance and early response strategies might be necessary to curb this steady rise.
