The forecast for pertussis incidence in Germany shows a steady trend from 2024 to 2028, with incidents rising slightly from 15.0 to 15.1 cases per hundred thousand persons. To provide context, in 2023, the incidence rate was 15.0. The year-on-year variation is minimal, showing stability in the incidence rate. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years indicates a negligible average increase per year.
Future trends to watch for:
- Monitoring vaccination rates and their impact on pertussis incidence.
- Potential emergence of pertussis strains affecting vaccine efficacy.
- Public health initiatives aiming to reduce incidence through awareness and preventive measures.