Forecast: Import of Arms and Ammunition, Parts and Accessories Thereof to Malaysia

From 2013 to 2023, Malaysia's import of arms and ammunition exhibited significant volatility with notable fluctuations. The values ranged from a high in 2013 at 41.981 million USD to a lower state in 2023 at 8.7408 million USD. Key highlights include a sharp drop in 2014 (-72.08%) followed by significant increases in 2015 (238.44%) and 2017 (281.31%). However, the overall trend over the past decade suggests a substantial decrease in imports, particularly from 2018 onwards, marked by negative year-on-year variations and an overall -7.33% CAGR over the last five years.

Looking forward, the forecast data predicts a continued decline from 2024 to 2028, with a compound annual growth rate of -17.67% and a projected drop to 2.8241 million USD by 2028. The forecasted growth rate over this period is -62.17%, indicating a sustained downward trend.

Trends to watch for:

  • Global political and economic uncertainties impacting defense budgets.
  • Technological advancements potentially reducing the need for traditional arms imports.
  • Malaysia's strategic pivoting towards domestic arms production and self-reliance in defense capabilities.

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