The re-import of fresh apples to France in 2023 was an anomaly, showing uncommon import volume that served as a new baseline for future forecasts. From 2024 to 2028, forecasts indicate a consistent decline in import volume of fresh apples by approximately 1.1% year-on-year. Cumulatively, this represents a negative Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) reflecting steady reduction in import demand over these five years. The volume in 2024 is 9.514 million kg and steadily decreases to 9.1112 million kg by 2028.
Key trends to watch include evolving consumer preferences towards locally-sourced produce, policy changes affecting import tariffs, and potential disruptions in global supply chains that may further impact these forecasts. Additionally, climate change and its effects on agricultural outputs in France and global apple-producing regions should be critically observed.
