The whole fresh goat milk production in Germany has shown significant variability over the years. The production experienced substantial declines from 2013 to 2015, followed by a brief recovery in 2016 and 2017. However, a sharp drop occurred again in 2018, continuing a downward trend up to 2023, wherein Germany recorded a production volume of 12.45 thousand metric tons, a decrease of 7.7% from 2022. Looking at the last two years, the decline accelerated with an average annual decrease of 7.5%. The last five years exhibit a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -5.12%, highlighting a consistent downtrend.
From 2024 onwards, the forecast indicates a continuation of this decline, with a 5-year forecasted CAGR of -9.09%, expecting a total reduction of 37.91% by 2028, reaching just 7.02 thousand metric tons.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential market shifts towards alternative dairy sources.
- Changes in production practices or farm consolidation affecting supply.
- Policy changes and their impact on goat milk producers.
- Consumer demand trends influenced by dietary preferences and health consciousness.
