In 2023, the empty road freight transport volume in France was reported at 565 million vehicle-kilometers. Over the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, a steady decline is observed from 496 million to 221 million vehicle-kilometers. This downward trend suggests a significant decrease in activity, with year-on-year reductions as follows: 14.1% from 2024 to 2025, 16.2% from 2025 to 2026, 19.1% from 2026 to 2027, and another 23.5% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is estimated to hover around -21%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Technological advancements in logistics that could optimize cargo load factors, reducing empty mileage.
- Policy changes aiming at improving transport efficiency and promoting sustainable practices.
- Potential impact of economic or industrial developments that might alter freight transport dynamics.
