The forecast for citrus production in Brazil indicates a consistent, slight decline from 2024 to 2028, with values transitioning from 19.41 to 19.274 million metric tons. This represents a gradual year-on-year reduction. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over these five years is negative, reflecting a declining trend compared to previous actual figures. In 2023, citrus production stood close to the 2024 forecast, suggesting a stagnating or mildly decreasing annual output.
Future trends to monitor include:
- The impact of climate change on citrus yields and harvest timing.
- Potential shifts in global demand which could alter production incentives.
- Technological advances in agriculture that might enhance productivity.
- Policy changes related to agriculture and trade.