The production of whole fresh cow milk in Italy has shown varied year-on-year fluctuations from 2013 to 2023, with notable peaks and declines observed. Specifically, from 2019 to 2021, there were fluctuations, including a decline in 2020 (-4.78%) and a significant recovery in 2021 (6.4%). By 2023, production had reached 12.921 million metric tons, with a moderate year-on-year increase of 1.02%. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was approximately 0.93%.
Looking ahead to the forecast from 2024 to 2028, the production remains on a growth trajectory, albeit at a modest CAGR of 0.81%. Key metrics such as the forecasted 5-year growth rate suggest an overall increase of 4.1% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in dairy farming technologies, changes in consumer demand for dairy products, and impacts from global trade negotiations and environmental policies. Monitoring these factors will provide insights into potential shifts in production outputs.