The forecasted refinery output of kerosene-type jet fuel in the UK is expected to display a slight year-on-year decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 60.08 thousand gigawatt hours in 2024, the output is expected to gradually decrease by approximately 0.76% each year, reaching 58.29 thousand gigawatt hours by 2028. In 2023, the actual output stood higher than the forecasted figures for subsequent years, indicating a consistent downward trend. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this period reflects an average annual decrease aligned with these projections.

Future trends to watch:

Impact of increasing adoption of sustainable aviation fuels potentially affecting the demand for traditional jet fuels.
Regulatory changes and environmental policies aiming to reduce carbon emissions in the aviation sector.
Technological advancements in fuel efficiency and alternative energy sources for aviation.