Forecast: Total Number of 10% Top-Cited Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in China

As of 2023, China had one thousand Artificial Intelligence-related publications in the top 10% of scientific citations. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 indicates a consistent and steady rise in these top-cited publications, from 1.02K in 2024 to 1.11K in 2028. This corresponds to an average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 2.1% over this period, reflecting an encouraging upward trajectory for China's prominence in AI research.

Future trends to watch include China's potential to further accelerate its AI research capabilities by strengthening collaborations with international academic institutions. Additionally, the adoption of advanced AI technologies and increased government policy support will likely bolster the nation's contribution to high-impact AI research.

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