Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Human-Computer Interaction in Japan

The forecasted share of corresponding/leading authors in Human-Computer Interaction publications in Japan shows a slight decline from 2024 through 2028, starting at 95.36% in 2024 and decreasing to 94.91% in 2028. This trend indicates a steady, albeit minimal, annual decrease.

Year-on-year changes highlight a consistent reduction, pointing to a potential shift in authorship patterns. Over the forecasted period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects a minor downward trend.

Future trends to watch include the impact of collaborative international research efforts, the adoption of AI in research methodologies, and the influence of emerging HCI paradigms, which may further diversify authorship roles.

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