The gross production value of melons in Japan is projected to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028, starting at 47.05 million USD in 2024 and decreasing annually. This reflects a consistent downward trend with an average annual decrease seen in the five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR). The most notable drops occurred year-on-year, signaling diminishing market value. In comparison, the 2023 value serves as a benchmark to gauge these future declines.

Future trends to watch include:

Adaptation strategies by producers to combat the decline in production value.
The impact of potential changes in consumer preferences towards alternative fruits.
Environmental and policy factors that might affect agricultural output and market dynamics.