Forecast: Civil Aviation Freight Ton-kilometers of Domestic Routes in China

The civil aviation freight ton-kilometers of domestic routes in China have shown a fluctuating yet generally upward trend from 2013 to 2023. By 2023, the value stood at 84.0 hundred million tonne kilometers, reflecting a 6.24% year-on-year variation from 2022. The impact of the global pandemic in 2020 led to a steep decline by -13.63%, which the sector has been gradually recovering from. Over the past five years, the average variation has been 2.17% per year.

Key Insights from 2013 to 2023:

  • Steady growth until a significant drop in 2020.
  • Post-2020, a notable recovery is evident with a remarkable 12.02% increase in 2022.
  • Projections suggest continued growth, with a forecasted CAGR of 2.35% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in logistics and freight management, increased domestic trade demand, and the impact of sustainable aviation fuel regulations. Additionally, monitoring geopolitical and economic policies will be crucial to anticipate shifts in domestic aviation freight dynamics.

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