In 2023, the UAE imported munitions of war, ammunition, and projectiles totaling 53.10 thousand kilograms. From this baseline, the forecasted imports show a consistent upward trend through 2028. Specifically, the projected imports are 55.15 thousand kilograms in 2024, 57.35 thousand kilograms in 2025, 59.51 thousand kilograms in 2026, 61.62 thousand kilograms in 2027, and 63.69 thousand kilograms in 2028. This reflects a consistent year-on-year increase.
Year-on-year variations show:
- 2024: 3.86% increase
- 2025: 3.99% increase
- 2026: 3.77% increase
- 2027: 3.54% increase
- 2028: 3.36% increase
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period from 2024 to 2028 averages at approximately 3.70% per annum.
Future trends to watch for include geopolitical tensions and defense policy changes, which could significantly impact import volumes. Additionally, advancements in defense technology and potential regional stability improvements could also alter the forecasted growth trajectory.
